Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.171995e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.521081e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.986012e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.549223e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.182989e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.907408e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.666793e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.381373e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000035
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.173019e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000040
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.983014e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.847455e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000052
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.772766e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000029 0.000062
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.627746e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000070
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.515700e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000033 0.000081
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.409043e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000092
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.315733e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000105
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.232460e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000041 0.000120
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.169556e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000045 0.000140
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.111089e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000049 0.000163
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.028811e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000051 0.000177
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.682985e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000054 0.000199
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 9.093845e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000019 0.000056 0.000220
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.679680e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000020 0.000060 0.000253